How Do I Validate an AGV Supplier’s Simulation Results Before Purchase

When an AGV supplier provides a warehouse simulation, the result may look precise: six AGVs, 28 pallet moves per hour, 80% utilization, and a projected daily throughput. For a buyer, however, the most important part of the simulation is not the final number. It is the assumptions used to produce that number.

A simulation can be technically correct while still being unsuitable for a specific warehouse if the input data does not represent actual operating conditions. This is why overseas buyers should validate the model before using simulation results to finalize an AGV purchase.

How Do I Validate an AGV Supplier’s Simulation Results Before Purchase.jpg

Start With the Warehouse Data

Ask the supplier what information was used to build the simulation. A site-specific model should normally consider the physical layout and the actual material-flow requirements.

  • Warehouse dimensions

  • Rack locations and aisle widths

  • Pickup and drop-off stations

  • Storage locations

  • Pallet dimensions

  • Load weights and load centers

  • Required lift heights

  • Daily pallet movements

  • Peak-hour workload

  • Operating shifts

  • Manual forklift traffic

  • Pedestrian traffic

If the supplier has not received this information, the result should be treated as a preliminary estimate rather than a detailed warehouse simulation.

Check Whether Demand Is Modeled by Hour

Daily pallet volume can hide important workload peaks.

For example, a warehouse may move 800 pallets per day but receive most outbound orders during a few hours. AGVs must handle the peak workload, not simply the daily average.

Ask the supplier whether the simulation uses actual hourly demand, order history, or representative mission patterns.

Verify Travel Distances

Travel distance has a direct effect on mission time and fleet requirements.

A simulation based on short pickup-to-drop-off distances may produce a very different result from a warehouse where pallets travel across multiple zones.

Provide actual origin and destination locations whenever possible. This allows the supplier to model the routes that the AGVs will actually perform.

Check Empty Travel

AGVs do not carry a pallet during every movement. After completing a delivery, a vehicle may need to travel empty to the next pickup location.

Empty travel can become significant in warehouses where pickup and drop-off locations are widely separated.

Ask the supplier whether the simulation includes empty repositioning and how dispatching decisions are made when multiple missions are waiting.

Check Congestion

A simulation should not assume that every AGV can move freely at all times.

In a real warehouse, several vehicles may compete for the same aisle, intersection, staging area, or transfer point.

Ask how the simulation handles:

  • Narrow-aisle traffic

  • Shared intersections

  • Staging queues

  • Pickup station queues

  • Manual forklift interference

  • Temporary route blockages

Check Charging Assumptions

Charging should be part of the fleet model, especially for a warehouse operating multiple shifts.

Ask whether the simulation considers charging time, battery state, charger availability, charging locations, and the effect of charging on vehicle availability.

A fleet that looks sufficient when every vehicle is assumed to be continuously available may require a different operating strategy once charging is included.

Ask for the Simulation Assumptions

Request a list of the main assumptions used in the model.

Simulation FactorWhat the Buyer Should Check
Travel speedWhether it represents actual operating conditions
Cycle timeWhat activities are included
DemandWhether peak demand is included
ChargingWhether charging removes vehicles from service
TrafficWhether congestion and waiting are modeled

Test More Than One Scenario

Do not ask the supplier to provide only one ideal operating scenario.

It is more useful to review normal demand, peak demand, reduced vehicle availability, temporary aisle blockage, and future workload growth.

This shows how sensitive the system is to changes in operating conditions.

Use Simulation as an Engineering Reference

The purpose of simulation is not to produce the highest possible throughput number. Its purpose is to help the buyer understand how the proposed AGV system is expected to perform under defined warehouse conditions.

Before purchasing, make sure the simulation can be traced back to real warehouse data and that its assumptions are clearly documented.

A realistic simulation is much more valuable than an impressive number generated from an idealized warehouse.

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